Darja Semenistaja vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the last six months, Oliynykova has a second serve point win rate of 38.27%, slightly lower than Semenistaja's 39.91%. Does a small edge in this area favor Semenistaja? Yes, it could slightly boost her chances.
• Return Game: Oliynykova wins 49.69% on returning second serves, while Semenistaja gains 50.12%. For first serve returns, Oliynykova leads with 38.77% over Semenistaja's 36.81%, suggesting Oliynykova may have a slight return edge.
• Breakpoint Defense: Oliynykova defends 47.1% of her breakpoints compared to Semenistaja's 44.51%, giving her a slight edge under pressure.
• Overall Match Winning: In the last year, Oliynykova won 71.62% of her matches; Semenistaja follows at 60.23%. This could suggest Oliynykova's higher consistency.
• Surface Strength: Both players excel on clay, but Oliynykova edges out with a 69% win rate versus Semenistaja's 65%, indicating strong performances on this surface.
• Tournament Level Performance: Oliynykova has a 73.61% win rate and Semenistaja 63.01% in Challenger/ITF tournaments over $10K, suggesting Oliynykova may have the upper hand at this level.
• Head-to-Head Record: Semenistaja leads the direct encounters 1-0 with a win in their recent match on clay. Is history on Semenistaja's side? Marginally so.
• Opponent Quality: Semenistaja faces higher-ranked opposition, with an average opponent rank of 211.5 compared to Oliynykova's 286.05, which might indicate Semenistaja's frequent high-level competition.
• Deciding Set Performance: Semenistaja won 65% of her deciding sets over the last 12 months compared to Oliynykova's 52%, indicating stronger resolves in close matches.
• Break Point Conversion: Semenistaja converts slightly more with 41.86% to Oliynykova's 41.78%, making her marginally more effective in this situation.

Editorial Prediction (September 18, 2025, UTC):

As Oliynykova and Semenistaja approach their next match, a comprehensive examination of their recent stats and performance trends reveals several key factors. Oliynykova has demonstrated consistent match-winning capabilities, exceeding Semenistaja in overall winning percentages and breakpoint defense.

Despite Semenistaja's slight edge in second serve performance and opponent quality faced, the return game stats favor Oliynykova slightly, particularly in returning first serves. Both players excel on clay, but Oliynykova shows a slight advantage on this surface historically.

While the direct head-to-head statistics lean towards Semenistaja, Oliynykova's solid performance in pressure situations may counteract her own previous losses. Considering these factors, Oliynykova seems to have a slight edge and is most likely to clinch the win in this upcoming tennis match.